🌑 Dying from an asteroid impact vs 🌪️ Dying in a tornado
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You're 1.25× more likely to die in a tornado
than to die from an asteroid impact
Periods differ: Dying in a tornado is framed as lifetime (US avg), while Dying from an asteroid impact is lifetime (illustrative). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Dying from an asteroid impact
1 in 75,000
lifetime (illustrative)
Dying in a tornado
1 in 60,000
lifetime (US avg)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 1.25× more likely to die in a tornado. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 1.25× more likely to die in a tornado (1 in 60,000, lifetime (US avg)) than to die from an asteroid impact (1 in 75,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (US avg) vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-dying-from-an-asteroid-vs-odds-of-dying-in-a-tornado
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