Space
Dying from an asteroid impact
Odds
1 in 75,000
lifetime (illustrative) · Global (illustrative)
What this means
A classic 'cosmic risk' figure with huge uncertainty bands — useful for compare UX, not personal planning.
Methodology
Wide published ranges exist for impact-related death risk over geologic time scaled to a human lifetime. Treat as order-of-magnitude curiosity; published estimates vary by orders of magnitude.
Updated 2026-01-15
Source
Popular science / NASA-adjacent explainers ↗Share
Odds of dying from an asteroid: 1 in 75,000 (lifetime (illustrative)). — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/odds/odds-of-dying-from-an-asteroid
Compare this event
See how it stacks up against something else — get a shareable “N× more likely” line.