🃏 Royal flush (5-card poker) vs ✈️ Dying in a plane crash
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You're 16.9× more likely to get a royal flush
than to die in a plane crash
Periods differ: Royal flush (5-card poker) is framed as per 5-card hand, while Dying in a plane crash is per flight (commercial). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Royal flush (5-card poker)
1 in 649,740
per 5-card hand
Dying in a plane crash
1 in 11,000,000
per flight (commercial)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 16.9× more likely to get a royal flush. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 16.9× more likely to get a royal flush (1 in 649,740, per 5-card hand) than to die in a plane crash (1 in 11,000,000, per flight (commercial)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per 5-card hand vs per flight (commercial)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-royal-flush-vs-odds-of-dying-in-a-plane-crash
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