How Likely Is That?

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Dying in a plane crash

Odds

1 in 11,000,000

per flight (commercial) · Global commercial aviation (illustrative)

What this means

Commercial flying is one of the safest routine activities by distance traveled. Per-flight framing differs from lifetime framing — compare carefully.

Methodology

Order-of-magnitude per-flight fatality risk for scheduled commercial jets, drawn from commonly cited aviation-safety ballparks. Not a formal actuarial model; excludes general aviation.

Updated 2026-01-15

Source

Industry / safety summaries (illustrative) ↗

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Odds of dying in a plane crash: 1 in 11,000,000 (per flight (commercial)). — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/odds/odds-of-dying-in-a-plane-crash

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