⛳ Hole-in-one (amateur) vs 🎫 Winning a raffle
Share card
You're 125.0× more likely to win a raffle
than to hit a hole-in-one
Periods differ: Winning a raffle is framed as per ticket (100-ticket raffle), while Hole-in-one (amateur) is per round (amateur). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Hole-in-one (amateur)
1 in 12,500
per round (amateur)
Winning a raffle
1 in 100
per ticket (100-ticket raffle)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 125.0× more likely to win a raffle. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
Share
You're 125.0× more likely to win a raffle (1 in 100, per ticket (100-ticket raffle)) than to hit a hole-in-one (1 in 12,500, per round (amateur)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per ticket (100-ticket raffle) vs per round (amateur)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-vs-odds-of-winning-a-raffle
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available