Luck
Hole-in-one (amateur)
Odds
1 in 12,500
per round (amateur) · General (amateur golf)
What this means
For a typical amateur round, a hole-in-one is rare but not lottery-rare — and more likely than a royal flush in a single 5-card poker hand.
Methodology
Widely cited amateur hole-in-one odds around 1 in 12,500 per round. Pros are closer to 1 in 2,500. Skill, course, and hole selection matter a lot.
Updated 2026-01-15
Source
Golf Digest / PGA media estimates ↗Share
Odds of a hole in one: 1 in 12,500 (per round (amateur)). — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/odds/odds-of-a-hole-in-one
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