⛳ Hole-in-one (amateur) vs 🏚️ Dying in an earthquake
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You're 12.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one
than to die in an earthquake
Periods differ: Hole-in-one (amateur) is framed as per round (amateur), while Dying in an earthquake is lifetime (US avg). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Hole-in-one (amateur)
1 in 12,500
per round (amateur)
Dying in an earthquake
1 in 150,000
lifetime (US avg)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 12.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 12.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one (1 in 12,500, per round (amateur)) than to die in an earthquake (1 in 150,000, lifetime (US avg)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per round (amateur) vs lifetime (US avg)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-vs-odds-of-dying-in-an-earthquake
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