⛳ Hole-in-one (amateur) vs 🌊 Drowning
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You're 12.4× more likely to drown
than to hit a hole-in-one
Periods differ: Drowning is framed as lifetime (US), while Hole-in-one (amateur) is per round (amateur). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 12.4× more likely to drown. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 12.4× more likely to drown (1 in 1,006, lifetime (US)) than to hit a hole-in-one (1 in 12,500, per round (amateur)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (US) vs per round (amateur)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-vs-odds-of-drowning
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