⛳ Hole-in-one (amateur) vs 🃏 Royal flush (5-card poker)
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You're 52.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one
than to get a royal flush
Periods differ: Hole-in-one (amateur) is framed as per round (amateur), while Royal flush (5-card poker) is per 5-card hand. The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Hole-in-one (amateur)
1 in 12,500
per round (amateur)
Royal flush (5-card poker)
1 in 649,740
per 5-card hand
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 52.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 52.0× more likely to hit a hole-in-one (1 in 12,500, per round (amateur)) than to get a royal flush (1 in 649,740, per 5-card hand). ⚠️ Periods differ (per round (amateur) vs per 5-card hand) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-hole-in-one-vs-odds-of-a-royal-flush
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