🦈 Dying in a shark attack vs 🎫 Winning a raffle
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You're 37,480.7× more likely to win a raffle
than to die in a shark attack
Periods differ: Winning a raffle is framed as per ticket (100-ticket raffle), while Dying in a shark attack is lifetime (US). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Dying in a shark attack
1 in 3,748,067
lifetime (US)
Winning a raffle
1 in 100
per ticket (100-ticket raffle)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 37,480.7× more likely to win a raffle. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 37,480.7× more likely to win a raffle (1 in 100, per ticket (100-ticket raffle)) than to die in a shark attack (1 in 3,748,067, lifetime (US)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per ticket (100-ticket raffle) vs lifetime (US)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-dying-in-a-shark-attack-vs-odds-of-winning-a-raffle
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