🚗 Dying in a car accident vs 👯 Having identical twins
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You're 2.69× more likely to die in a car accident
than to have identical twins
Periods differ: Dying in a car accident is framed as lifetime (US), while Having identical twins is per birth (natural, approx.). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Dying in a car accident
1 in 93
lifetime (US)
Having identical twins
1 in 250
per birth (natural, approx.)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 2.69× more likely to die in a car accident. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 2.69× more likely to die in a car accident (1 in 93, lifetime (US)) than to have identical twins (1 in 250, per birth (natural, approx.)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (US) vs per birth (natural, approx.)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-dying-in-a-car-accident-vs-odds-of-having-identical-twins
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