How Likely Is That?

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🌊 Drowning vs 🎂 Living to 100

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You're 10.1× more likely to live to 100

than to drown

How we calculated this

Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 10.1× more likely to live to 100. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.

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You're 10.1× more likely to live to 100 (1 in 100, lifetime (approx. US birth cohort)) than to drown (1 in 1,006, lifetime (US)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (approx. US birth cohort) vs lifetime (US)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-drowning-vs-odds-of-living-to-100

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