🥥 Killed by a falling coconut vs 🎫 Winning a raffle
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You're 5.0 million× more likely to win a raffle
than to be killed by a falling coconut
Periods differ: Winning a raffle is framed as per ticket (100-ticket raffle), while Killed by a falling coconut is lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Killed by a falling coconut
1 in 500,000,000
lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware)
Winning a raffle
1 in 100
per ticket (100-ticket raffle)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 5.0 million× more likely to win a raffle. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 5.0 million× more likely to win a raffle (1 in 100, per ticket (100-ticket raffle)) than to be killed by a falling coconut (1 in 500,000,000, lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per ticket (100-ticket raffle) vs lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-being-killed-by-a-coconut-vs-odds-of-winning-a-raffle
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available