How Likely Is That?

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🥥 Killed by a falling coconut vs 👯 Having identical twins

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You're 2.0 million× more likely to have identical twins

than to be killed by a falling coconut

How we calculated this

Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 2.0 million× more likely to have identical twins. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.

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You're 2.0 million× more likely to have identical twins (1 in 250, per birth (natural, approx.)) than to be killed by a falling coconut (1 in 500,000,000, lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per birth (natural, approx.) vs lifetime (illustrative / myth-aware)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-being-killed-by-a-coconut-vs-odds-of-having-identical-twins

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