☄️ Hit by a meteorite vs 🎫 Winning a raffle
Share card
You're 16,000× more likely to win a raffle
than to be hit by a meteorite
Periods differ: Winning a raffle is framed as per ticket (100-ticket raffle), while Hit by a meteorite is lifetime (illustrative). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Hit by a meteorite
1 in 1,600,000
lifetime (illustrative)
Winning a raffle
1 in 100
per ticket (100-ticket raffle)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 16,000× more likely to win a raffle. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
Share
You're 16,000× more likely to win a raffle (1 in 100, per ticket (100-ticket raffle)) than to be hit by a meteorite (1 in 1,600,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per ticket (100-ticket raffle) vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-being-hit-by-a-meteorite-vs-odds-of-winning-a-raffle
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available