🏛️ Becoming US president vs 👯 Having identical twins
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You're 40,000× more likely to have identical twins
than to become US president
Periods differ: Having identical twins is framed as per birth (natural, approx.), while Becoming US president is lifetime (illustrative). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Becoming US president
1 in 10,000,000
lifetime (illustrative)
Having identical twins
1 in 250
per birth (natural, approx.)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 40,000× more likely to have identical twins. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 40,000× more likely to have identical twins (1 in 250, per birth (natural, approx.)) than to become US president (1 in 10,000,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per birth (natural, approx.) vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-becoming-president-vs-odds-of-having-identical-twins
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