🏛️ Becoming US president vs 🏚️ Dying in an earthquake
Share card
You're 66.7× more likely to die in an earthquake
than to become US president
Periods differ: Dying in an earthquake is framed as lifetime (US avg), while Becoming US president is lifetime (illustrative). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Becoming US president
1 in 10,000,000
lifetime (illustrative)
Dying in an earthquake
1 in 150,000
lifetime (US avg)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 66.7× more likely to die in an earthquake. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
Share
You're 66.7× more likely to die in an earthquake (1 in 150,000, lifetime (US avg)) than to become US president (1 in 10,000,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (US avg) vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-becoming-president-vs-odds-of-dying-in-an-earthquake
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available