🏛️ Becoming US president vs 🦈 Dying in a shark attack
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You're 2.67× more likely to die in a shark attack
than to become US president
Periods differ: Dying in a shark attack is framed as lifetime (US), while Becoming US president is lifetime (illustrative). The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Becoming US president
1 in 10,000,000
lifetime (illustrative)
Dying in a shark attack
1 in 3,748,067
lifetime (US)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 2.67× more likely to die in a shark attack. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 2.67× more likely to die in a shark attack (1 in 3,748,067, lifetime (US)) than to become US president (1 in 10,000,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (lifetime (US) vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-becoming-president-vs-odds-of-dying-in-a-shark-attack
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