🃏 Royal flush (5-card poker) vs 💰 Winning Mega Millions jackpot
Share card
You're 465.7× more likely to get a royal flush
than to win Mega Millions
Periods differ: Royal flush (5-card poker) is framed as per 5-card hand, while Winning Mega Millions jackpot is per ticket. The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
Royal flush (5-card poker)
1 in 649,740
per 5-card hand
Winning Mega Millions jackpot
1 in 302,575,350
per ticket
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 465.7× more likely to get a royal flush. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
Share
You're 465.7× more likely to get a royal flush (1 in 649,740, per 5-card hand) than to win Mega Millions (1 in 302,575,350, per ticket). ⚠️ Periods differ (per 5-card hand vs per ticket) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-royal-flush-vs-odds-of-winning-mega-millions
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available