How Likely Is That?

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🃏 Royal flush (5-card poker) vs ☄️ Hit by a meteorite

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You're 2.46× more likely to get a royal flush

than to be hit by a meteorite

How we calculated this

Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 2.46× more likely to get a royal flush. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.

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You're 2.46× more likely to get a royal flush (1 in 649,740, per 5-card hand) than to be hit by a meteorite (1 in 1,600,000, lifetime (illustrative)). ⚠️ Periods differ (per 5-card hand vs lifetime (illustrative)) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-a-royal-flush-vs-odds-of-being-hit-by-a-meteorite

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