🪙 10 heads in a row vs 🎫 Winning a raffle
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You're 10.2× more likely to win a raffle
than to flip heads 10 times in a row
Periods differ: Winning a raffle is framed as per ticket (100-ticket raffle), while 10 heads in a row is per sequence of 10 fair flips. The multiplier is a raw ratio of the 1-in-X figures — not a normalized lifetime risk. Compare cautiously.
10 heads in a row
1 in 1,024
per sequence of 10 fair flips
Winning a raffle
1 in 100
per ticket (100-ticket raffle)
How we calculated this
Each figure is “1 in X.” The larger X is the rarer event. Dividing that number by the more common one gives the multiplier: you're 10.2× more likely to win a raffle. When the periods differ, this is a raw ratio of those figures, not a lifetime-normalized risk.
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You're 10.2× more likely to win a raffle (1 in 100, per ticket (100-ticket raffle)) than to flip heads 10 times in a row (1 in 1,024, per sequence of 10 fair flips). ⚠️ Periods differ (per ticket (100-ticket raffle) vs per sequence of 10 fair flips) — compare cautiously. — How Likely Is That? https://www.howlikelyisthat.com/compare/odds-of-10-coin-flips-in-a-row-vs-odds-of-winning-a-raffle
Want a different pair? Open the picker · 30 events available